Update: Golden Packs & Pity Timer. Celestalon has confirmed that Golden Classic Packs are not subject to the usual pit timer rules – they have no guaranteed Legendary in the first 10 packs.
Update: I was wrong, apologies. Golden packs are so rare, with no expectation to get enough of them to hit any pity timers, that we made them completely independent rolls, every time.
— ✨???? (@Celestalon) May 21, 2020
A new deal is now available in the shop – you can now get a bundle of 6 Golden Classic Packs.
6 packs for $15 seems like awful lot of money. After all, that’s $2.5 per pack – way more than you normally have to pay for those (even without any sale). So if you want to get some cards you will straight up play with for cheap, it’s not a good deal for you.
So who is the bundle for, exactly? First of all – for the collectors. If you’re crazy enough to aim for a full Gold collection, or at least a full Classic Gold collection, you should buy this bundle. But I’d assume that not many players aspire for a full Golden collection given that it would cost thousands of dollars.
Alternatively, you can get it for… Dust. Of course, the obvious issue here is RNG. At minimum, the pack will have 4x Golden Common (50 Dust each) + 1x Golden Rare (100 Dust) for 300 Dust in total. So, at the VERY LEAST, you will get 1.8k Dust if you disenchant all of the cards you get in this bundle. However, the value goes up tremendously if you manage to hit some Epics and possibly a Legendary. Each Epic disenchants for 400 Dust, while a Legendary gives you a whooping 1.6k Dust – in both cases, enough to craft any card from that rarity. The average outcome is around 2,350 Dust, because you’re not very likely to open a Legendary in 6 packs. But if you do, the value bounces heavily. Which means that depending on your luck, six packs could translate to 1.8k Dust (minimum value)… or let’s say 5k Dust (if you unpack two Legendaries in total).
I would say that if we’re looking at the minimum value, it’s not worth it. But if you get lucky, it might be a great deal. So it’s really up to you.
The bundle is available until May 26.
Get them in game shop or through the Battle.net shop.
Aren’t you guaranteed an epic in this bundle because of the 1 epic every 5 packs?
There’s an epic every 10 packs, not 5.
Plain wrong. Blizzard had to publish average chances to receive epics/legendäres, by Chinese law and stated that there is an epic card every 5 packs and legendary every 20 packs (after your legendary for the first 10 packs every expension). Your personal luck is still the deciding factor but your comment is just wrong.
Stop, you have to seperate between Pity timer and chance.
The chance may be 1 epic in 5 packs (1 legendary in 20 packs).
But:
But: if you had 4 packs without an epic card, you don’t get an epic in the fifth with 100% (same for legendary and the 20th).
So. That’s about the chances.
Let’s head to the pity timers:
If you had 9 packs without any epic card or 39 packs without any legendary, so you get definitely! An epic card in the 10th and a legendary in the 40th pack.
Short: don’t mix Pity timer and chances
His comment is not wrong, the original comment was talking about a guaranteed Epic, which is 1 per 10 packs. On average, Epics shows up once in 5 packs, but that’s average, not guaranteed – like you’ve said, it depends on personal luck.
My pity tracker tells me I’ve opened 4 golden classic packs with no epics or legendarys so that should be a guaranteed epic. Also if they have the guaranteed legendary within the first 10 packs of a series, that might be something?
If you’re looking at this strictly as a value proposition, I would say you’ll MUCH less likely to feel disappointed if you pass on this deal and just buy the next one that comes along for normal packs–if you’re after raw dust, you’re expected (i.e. statistical mean) dust/dollar will be much greater, and if you’re after specific golden cards, you can still use said dust to craft exactly what you want rather than relying on chance.